9 More House Races Shift Toward Democrats Day Before Election
On Monday, just a day before the midterm elections, the nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted 9 House races toward Democrats in what many call a swelling blue wave threatening to throw Republicans out of Washington.
One race, an open seat in Washington where Rep. Dave Reichert (R) is retiring, is now leaning Democrat from toss-up.
Cook also moved two more races from lean Republican to toss-up. The first is in Pennsylvania, where House Freedom Caucus member Rep. Scott Perry (R) is facing a tough reelection fight. The second is Georgia’s sixth district, where Karen Handel, who won an expensive special election race in 2017, is in a tough race. The district was once held by former Speaker Newt Gingrich (R).
Another race that Democrats are already favored to win, a seat now held by the retiring Rep. Darrell Issa, was moved from leaning to likely Democrat.
In five other races show the contests are closer than expected and points to the large number of seats the GOP is being forced to defend.
Three races — in Texas’s 6th and 10th Congressional Districts and in West Virginia’s 2nd — moved from solid Republican to toss up.
The only race that shifted in favor of Republicans was Arizona’s 1st Congressional District, where incumbent Rep. Tom O’Halleran (D-Ariz.) is facing Republican challenger Wendy Rogers. That race was shifted from likely Democrat to leaning Democrat.
NEW at @CookPolitical: 10 final House rating changes. Biggest moves are towards Dems:#FL25: Diaz-Balart (R) – Likely R to Lean R#GA06: Handel (R) – Lean R to Toss Up#MI06: Upton (R) – Likely R to Lean R#PA10: Perry (R) – Lean R to Toss Up#WA08: OPEN (R) – Toss Up to Lean D
— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 5, 2018
The shift is the latest indication that Democrats have the upper-hand in the House prior to Tuesday’s midterms, when Democrats need to pick up 23 seats to regain control of the House of Representatives.