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Poll: Democrat Mark Kelly Increases Lead Over Martha McSally In Arizona Senate Race

A newly released poll shows that former NASA astronaut Mark Kelly (D) leads Sen. Martha McSally (R) in the race for an Arizona seat in the United States Senate.

The poll conducted by OH Predictive Insights, a Phoenix-based polling firm, shows Kelly scoring 49 percent of the vote among Arizona voters, compared with 42 percent for McSally.

Kelly led McSally by a narrower margin, 47 to 44 percent, in the firm’s December poll.

McSally, who was appointed to the seat by Gov. Doug Ducey (R) after the death of the late Sen. John McCain (R), has seen her favorable ratings drop substantially in recent months. Today, 43 percent of Arizona voters see her favorably, while 47 percent see her unfavorably.

The race has become one of the most expensive in the country, as both Kelly and McSally prove prodigious fundraisers.

Through the end of 2019, Kelly had raised more than $20 million and had $13 million in the bank.

McSally had raised $12 million, a figure that would have been more impressive if she were running against any other Democrat in the country. She ended the year with $7.6 million on hand.

Arizona is fast becoming a battleground state in 2020, both in the race between Kelly and McSally and in the presidential contest. Arizona’s demographics are changing rapidly as more voters move in from nearby states in search of high-tech jobs in the Phoenix metropolitan area.

Arizona voters also favor a generic Democratic candidate for Congress by a 4-point margin, 45 to 41 percent, over a generic Republican.

The poll surveyed 600 likely Arizona voters on both cell phones and landlines between March 3-4. It carried a margin of error of 4 percentage points.


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