The likelihood of Democrats winning the six seats they need to retake the Senate majority after election day just soared, according to the latest election polls.
All three major election polls give Democrats very strong odds of picking up several Republican seats. Part of the Democrats’ advantage comes from holding more safe seats in the Senate than the Republicans; they have 36 seats that aren’t up for election, compared to the GOP’s 30 safe seats. But some Republican candidates are underperforming, possibly thanks to Donald Trump at the top of the ticket, reported The Huffington Post.
According to the Post’s Senate projection chart below, there’s a 55 percent chance that the Senate will swing completely over ― and a 23 percent chance that it’s tied at 50 seats for each party. That means there’s a 78 percent chance that the Democratic Party could get 50 or more seats.
“A tie would still be good news for Democrats. Most models give the Democratic ticket of Hillary Clinton and Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) at least an 80 percent chance of winning the presidency. That would make Kaine the tie-breaking vote in the Senate as the vice president, shifting Democrats back into the majority by a 51-50 split.” the report concluded.
H/T: The Huffington Post.