Poll: Trump Trails Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Oprah In 2020 Matchups
Donald Trump faces an uphill climb to re-election in 2020 against a slate of prominent potential Democratic hopefuls, a new CNN poll reveals.
The survey, conducted by SSRS, presented a series of hypothetical 2020 one-on-one contests. The result shows that Trump trails Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders by a 55% to 42% margin among registered voters. He lags further behind former Vice President Joe Biden by a wide 57% to 40% split, and trails television personality Oprah Winfrey by a 51% to 42% divide.
The potential broad margins for the Democratic 2020 matchups are shaped by winning over some core groups that cast ballots for Trump in 2016, including white women and whites with a college degree. Trump leads among whites without a degree, though it’s cut to just one-third of his gaping 2016 margin. Hillary Clinton won the popular vote by 2 percentage points in 2016 but lost in the Electoral College.
A majority of Americans, 57%, say they have a favorable view of Sanders — essentially unchanged since he bowed out of the Democratic presidential primary in 2016. A similar 58% say they have a favorable view of Biden, up from the 51% favorable rating he had when he was last considering a run in October 2015. More Americans, 64%, say they have a favorable view of Winfrey.
Women voters are key to Democrats’ potential success in 2020. The numbers show all three potential Democratic hopefuls winning white women by massive double-digit margins: Winfrey by 14 points, Sanders by 17 points and Biden by 23 points. Trump defeated Clinton by 9 points with this group in the 2016 presidential election, according to CNN exit polls. Among all women, those margins grow to a whopping 29 points for Winfrey, 30 points for Sanders and 36 points for Biden.
Neither Sanders, 76, and Biden, 75, has ruled out a presidential bid in 2020. After Oprah’s compelling speech at the Golden Globe awards raised speculation about her potential future political aspirations, Trump told reporters: “Yeah, I’ll beat Oprah … I like Oprah. I don’t think she’s going to run.” Two sources later told CNN she was “actively thinking” about running for the White House.