If President Donald Trump’s supporters thought that William Barr’s decision to end of the Russia investigation and the “suicide” of his longtime friend and convicted pedophile Jeffrey Epstein would save him from a humiliating defeat in the 2020 elections, they are in for a rude awakening.
Recent polls show President Trump losing women voters by huge margins, presenting his reelection campaign with a massive hurdle to overcome as he seeks a second term in office.
Perhaps most alarmingly for Trump, the president is losing support from the white women who were pivotal to his electoral success in 2016.
According to exit polls and post-election studies, Trump outperformed Democrat Hillary Clinton among white women in 2016, a statistic that the president cites on the campaign trail to combat the notion that he’s struggling with a widening gender gap in support.
But recent polling indicates that the same white women voters who propelled Trump to victory in 2016 might send him to defeat in 2020 if current trends hold.
From The Hill:
“A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday found Trump trailing the top five Democratic contenders by between 9 points and 16 points overall, with each leading the president by 23 points or more among all women.
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) performed best in hypothetical head-to-head matchups with the president, with each posting an 18 point advantage over Trump among white women.”
“Trump has significant issues with suburban women,” said Mark Penn, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll.
“These voters are the real closet conservatives who voted for Trump and Romney by double digits. The Republicans lost them in the mid-terms and they are Trump’s biggest roadblock to reelection. He’s done nothing so far that has been successful to win them back,” he added, referring to 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney.
The Trump campaign is taking the matter seriously, launching a “Women for Trump” campaign headlined by a dynamic group of female surrogates aiming to build a grassroots army to turn out female voters for the president next November.
But there’s another problem: Trump is still engulfed in a myriad of controversies, from his leaked Access Hollywood tape to feuds with the U.S. women’s soccer team have taken their toll.
About a dozen women have accused the president of various sexual misconduct, all of which he has strongly denied.
Quinnipiac University pollster Tim Malloy said his survey has asked women voters on 48 different occasions since Trump was elected how they feel about him. In all 48 surveys, women disapproved of Trump by a nearly two-to-one margin and the president topped out at 36 percent approval among women.
“One indicator may his abysmal numbers on empathy and his very low standing as a role model,” Malloy said, according to The Hill.
A recent NBC News-Wall Street Journal poll found Trump trailing a generic Democrat by 12 points overall. The Democrat leads Trump by a whopping 33 points among college-educated white women. The margin shrinks among white women without a college education, but Trump still trails here 49 percent to 43 percent.
A Hill/Harris X poll from June found 62 percent of female registered voters said they are unlikely or very unlikely to back Trump’s reelection bid, while only 49 percent of men said the same.
Meanwhile, a Politico-Morning Consult survey found a plurality, 38 percent, said they believe sexism has increased under Trump, against 29 percent who said there has been no change and 20 percent who said it has gotten better.