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Road To 270: Electoral Map Shifts Toward Clinton

Democratic presidential hopeful Hillary Clinton’s post-convention bounce keeps getting stronger both nationally and in some critical battleground states. And while this election is far from over, the current Electoral College battleground map solidly favors Clinton.

CNN’s battleground map gives Hillary Clinton 273 electoral votes from states that are either solidly or leaning in her direction compared to 191 electoral votes for Donald Trump in states that are solidly or leaning in his direction. That leaves 74 electoral votes up for grabs across 5 battleground states — Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Iowa, and Nevada.

The latest national combined poll shows a shift in the following battleground states:

– Pennsylvania (20 electoral votes) moves from “battleground” to “lean Democrat”
– New Hampshire (4 electoral votes) moves from “battleground” to “lean Democrat”
– Virginia (13 electoral votes) moves from “battleground” to “lean Democrat”

That adds 37 more electoral votes to Clinton’s total and puts her at 273 electoral votes — just ahead of the needed 270 electoral votes to win the White House.

Source: CNN

Source: CNN

“If Donald Trump were to win all the remaining battleground states on the map, he’d still be shy of the 270 votes needed to win the White House which means he is going to have to pick off at least one of the states currently leaning in Hillary Clinton’s direction in addition to running the table in those battleground states.”

THE STATE OF PLAY:

Solid Democratic:
California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), DC (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (20), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (11), New Jersey (14), New York (29), Oregon (7), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (12), Minnesota (10), New Mexico (5) (201 total)

Leans Democratic:
Colorado (9), Michigan (16), New Hampshire (4), Pennsylvania (20), Virginia (13), Wisconsin (10), (72 total)

Solid Republican:
Alabama (9), Alaska (3), Arkansas (6), Idaho (4), Indiana (11), Kansas (6), Kentucky (8), Louisiana (8), Mississippi (6), Missouri (10), Montana (3), Nebraska (5), North Dakota (3), Oklahoma (7), South Carolina (9), South Dakota (3), Tennessee (11), Texas (38), West Virginia (5), Wyoming (3) (158 total)

Leans Republican:
Arizona (11), Georgia (16), Utah (6) (33 total)

Battleground states:
Florida (29), Iowa (6), Nevada (6), Ohio (18), North Carolina (15) (74 total)

The next 80 days are going to be fiercely contested between the candidates. But as CNN highlights, the current state of play shows Clinton holding a significant electoral advantage heading into the intense fall campaign.

H/T: CNN


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